Description

Precision Parabolic Risk (PPRisk) combines a multi-factor speculative risk model with a live phase classification framework to help visualize when a stock may be transitioning from normal behavior into unstable expansion or parabolic conditions.

The risk model evaluates five core factors and scores them into a single 0–100 contextual value: Price Credibility measures how far price has traveled from longer-term daily context; Structure Quality assesses whether price is emerging from a contained base or expanding too fast; Dollar Volume Sustainability evaluates whether liquidity appears durable or fragile relative to recent history; Float / Implied Market Cap estimates vulnerability to speculative behavior by instrument category; and Float Rotation compares cumulative recent volume to float size when manual float data is provided. Additional modifiers apply when reverse split history, liquidity shock, or weak participation profiles are present. All thresholds scale by instrument tier across Nano, Micro, Small, Mid, Large, Crypto, and ETF classifications.

The phase engine classifies current price behavior into four structural states with distinct candle colors — Pre-Expansion (yellow), Break of Structure (cyan), Extended (orange), and Parabolic (fuchsia) — and consumes the risk score as a direct architectural input. A score of 65 reads differently during compression than during parabolic acceleration; the phase engine provides that temporal context.

The full dashboard surfaces the complete scoring breakdown — component scores, float rotation across 1D/3D/5D windows, float speed classification, dollar volume history, liquidity ratio and shock multiplier, structural stress output, and more. Compact mode condenses everything to a single status label. The dashboard header updates dynamically to reflect the active phase when one is detected.

A contextual risk and phase awareness tool built specifically for the behavior patterns common to low-float, small-cap equities.